Looking Ahead to 2006
By: Directions Staff
| (Jan 05, 2006) |
Film
critics Gene Siskel and Roger Ebert started a tradition on their TV
show of both noting which films they'd like to see win the Oscar and
those they expected to win the award.We want to do something similar
as we look ahead to 2006 in the geospatial industry.First, the editors
share what they'd like to see happen, and what they expect to see
happen.In the final section we share what several readers hope to see
in the 2006.
If any of these things do happen in the next year, you can be sure
we'll report on them!
Hopes
Adena Schutzberg, Executive Editor
Enhanced Understanding of GPS
Somehow coverage of GIS has the edge over GPS.Outside the odd writer
who refers to "global information systems," most GIS stories do a good
job highlighting what GIS is and how it works for the lay audience.
Explanation of GPS, on the other hand, includes discussions of how GPS
receivers send signals to GPS satellites.In 2006, I'd love to
see the number of such errors drop significantly.(Help me out if you
can.If you see/hear such a statement in the media, send on a
respectful e-mail setting the individual straight and ask for a
correction to be published/aired.)
Development of a Framework for Geospatial Data Search
I am continually astounded that we (the U.S./the world/the geospatial
community, take your pick) does not have a mechanism to search for
geospatial data on the Web.Oh, there are many websites that offer such
searches including some commercial ones that want to sell you the data
in question, which is fine, but they use their own methods and are
therefore limited in what they include.For some, data stewards must
register their data, and alas, there's been little incentive for them
to do so.Frankly, I'm not sure if this development task is best
addressed by government (Department of Interior?) or private industry
(Google?) or a non-profit (Open Geospatial Consortium? Google
Foundation?).We need such a tool for the sake of environmental study,
international politics and national and worldwide security and
response, among other things.
Clean Up USGS
I'm not really sure what's going on in there, but there are many things
that just do not seem to be working - reorganizations, delivery of The
National Map, leadership.(The name of the NSGIC midyear meeting
sounds prophetic: "All Hands on Deck for the Nation!") Having a federal
civilian mapping agency is crucial to our nation.Let's not let it get
scrapped due to a few missteps.Let's get a director on board and do
the job! Oh, and let's be clear what the job is, too.
Quiet Down About LBS
Can we please get the LBS vendors to be quiet until they have something
to say? Pretty please? For now all we see is hype and no real solutions
for our cell phones.Maybe the locating technology is not up to speed.
Maybe you've not done the market research to determine what we fickle
consumers want.No matter, just be quiet and let the rest of us get on
with our lives until you do have something to show.
Joe Francica, Editor in Chief
Admit the Threat
I'd like to hear one CEO of a GIS company openly admit that its
leadership role in geospatial technology is threatened by the likes of
Oracle or Google.It is so obvious that the visualization tools of
Google and the embedded functionality of Oracle Spatial threatens not
necessarily the traditional target market for location technology but
the much broader market for adopting location technology to mainstream
enterprise business processes.In the case of Oracle, it is either
partner or perish; work with them or get run over by them.In the case
of Google, an export function, like that of MapInfo, may be the best
way to appease an already antsy clientele that keeps wondering why the
map rendering tools of the traditional GIS companies never found a way
to make it as simple as Google did.
Intergraph/MapInfo Merger
What I would like to see is a merger of Intergraph with MapInfo.With
the upheaval in the consumer Web mapping portal arena, a direct assault
on geospatial technology is underway.The technology is no longer the
purview of just a few traditional GIS companies; Oracle, Microsoft and
Google have stomped right in the middle of the fun and now it's a
battle.MapInfo and Intergraph are two companies that represent the
middle ground in the game for mindshare.It is an untenable place to
be.Why not join forces and truly compete for the potentially fertile
ground of enterprise location intelligence? These are good companies
with good products, each with their own strengths in both the public
and private sector.Forget about any problems with integrating their
technologies and product suites; that's an easier problem to solve than
the thought of losing potentially big business.The battle is for
selling solutions and both companies have been moving in that direction
for the last several years.
Predictions
Nora Parker, Senior Managing Editor
Web Services Will Snip Away at Traditional GIS
2005 was the year of the "freely available consumer-oriented mapping
API." Some of these APIs include functionality that could easily be
used to handle less analytically complex geospatial processing needs.
The 'crux of the biscuit' for our industry, is how much of the
geoprocessing going on out there falls into this "less analytically
complex" category? What effect could these APIs have in the
commercial space (vs.the consumer space)? Will they displace software
revenues? (E.g.will companies adopt them and use them in place of
paid-for software?) Or will they heighten awareness of geoprocessing's
potential, causing users to quickly outgrow them and move to acquiring
more complex software, and thus increase software revenues? The bottom
line? The new APIs will draw "less analytical users" from their
traditional complex GIS software and displace some revenue.Awareness
will be heightened, but it seems clear revenue will move from boxes of
software sold to the number of geospatial transactions made.
Hal Reid, Editor, Location Intelligence Magazine
Data Access and Integration
The grand scheme for this year is access to data.Internet access
becomes more ubiquitous and we will see access continue to be enhanced
to include more and more adjacent information.To help use this new
data availability there will be an integrated suite of products like
Writely.com, Google maps/imagery and traditional searches all sourced
from your browser.So from your browser, you can mix and match and
integrate into a single document which can reside either on your local
device, remain securely on the Web, or both, and editable on either.As
four dimensional data becomes mainstream viewing the past, present and
predictive future will be an expected part of business analysis.2006
will be a landmark year in terms of technology adaptation.
Adena Schutzberg
ArcGIS Explorer will not be a Google Killer
ESRI has already stated that it's not supposed to be one, so it won't
be.If ESRI plays its cards correctly and "sticks to the knitting" it
may well have a viewer that its own community �" and hopefully the
education community - will use daily.Recall that this did not happen
with ArcExplorer nor ArcReader, so perhaps this third free viewer (with
3D support and OGC support) will be an answer.
Microsoft will not catch Google in mapping this year
Recall that Microsoft is renowned for offering a 1.0 iteration that's
not so great, but over time hones it to be a market leader.So it was
with the Virtual Earth technology now part of Live Local.The data was
old, the interface challenging and the API not as thrilling as Google
Maps'.But, Microsoft did sign on the dotted line with Pictometry,
something that's given it some clout.And, the company did clearly
state its business model for mashups.And, in the days before the
holidays, it acquired tiny but tech savvy GeoTango.Still, I'll give
Microsoft until 2007 to get close to Google on the mapping front.
Mashups will get down to business
2005 was the dipping the toe in the water for map mashups.People made
maps because they could.In 2006 reality will take hold and these Web
2.0 goodies will need to have some return.I expect I'll be asked to
subscribe to a free running newsletter with ads about using a mashup
for setting up my training runs.And, I likely will do so.That will
mean that Yahoo and Google will need to outline further plans for how
developers can work with the APIs for commercial or internal use.
Open Source will thrive
The open source geospatial community, with Autodesk in attendance, will
educate a whole new set of potential users about how that development
methodology works and what it can deliver.As this happens, commercial
vendors will need to research the term "commodity" and act accordingly,
especially with regard to Web mapping offerings.I expect at least one
commercial vendor will offer a free, if not open source, lightweight
Web mapping offering.I expect at least one other to sign on with the
MapServer Foundation (or whatever its name finally is).
Blurring and mixing will continue
The use of exclusively one technology type in geospatial (think open
source vs.proprietary, professional vs.consumer, etc.) will diminish
in the enterprise and home.The need to get to the best solution most
efficiently will drive the hard core "to the other side" to use what
was once perhaps forbidden technology.
Joe Francica
Google's influence will be felt in the enterprise
The influence of Google Earth and Google Maps on enterprise geospatial
computing will become even more evident.There is already enough
anecdotal evidence to suggest that executives are seeking solutions
that take advantage of the Google Earth interface.They are asking
their senior technical staff, and some high profile companies have
contacted Google directly, to determine how to integrate the
visualization toolkit with their enterprise data.Almost by accident,
Google has perhaps made the single greatest impact on geospatial
technology adoption since the introduction of Windows in the early
90's.So, what's next? Will we begin to see that traditional GIS
solutions are bypassed altogether in favor of a connection between a
map display engine and enterprise databases? Can we expect to see
Oracle and Google partner to elevate the awareness of geospatial
information to corporations? I think we will.
Real-time data in navigation offerings
The next big thing in location based services is real-time data
integrated with in-vehicle navigation systems.Getting driving
directions is extremely useful "what's next? I think the obvious choice
is real-time weather.Looks like this fall, XM Satellite Radio will
launch a service
in conjunction with Baron Services.However, just shortly after that, I
think the absolute must real-time data has to be price updates from the
nearest gas station that is directly integrated with the fuel gauge.
"Getting low on gas? Fuel up just one mile ahead for $2.39 per gallon."
It will be a "must have" in-vehicle tool and more suitable for the
vehicle than for the cell phone, i.e.get the data where you need it
most.
Reader Hopes
Back in December, we asked readers to share what they hoped would
happen and what they expected might happen in the new year.Several
readers responded, with a wide range of ideas.
Chris Maltese, Cingular, United States
Mainstream madness
I'm of the mindset that GIS will enter the mainstream at a faster pace
than expected.There was a time when everyone went to the "Word
Processing Department" to have text entered into electronic form for
manipulation, dissemination, etc.Now, everyone has a word processor on
their PC.I feel that GIS will be no different, as
individuals from all disciplines are now using mapping in their
day-to-day lives.
Bob Gaspirc, OLS, CLS, OLIP, WES-Tech Services, Ontario, Canada
Notes from underground
I would like:
- Firm and clear data standards that describe the objects to be collected and why they need to be collected.
- Harmonization of best business practices focused on underground infrastructure damage prevention
- More frequent "one-call" services to locate and designate the existence of utilities during all phases, (from permitting , design, construction and as-built)
- Technologies and tools that enable all underground facilities to be locatable.New cheaper technologies and methodologies are required to ensure that the presence and type of underground facilities are readily locatable, and may be identified through such devices such as tonable pipes, cables, tracer wire, locator balls etc...AND perhaps legislation, or city by-laws that may include permanent above and or below ground markers.
- Technologies that would be used by contractors to mark out the as-laid, as-construct, and as-found utilities.
Alistair Hart, Tropical Public Health Unit Network, Queensland, Australia
Moving GPS data via wireless
I think (hope) that we will see the emergence of wireless (802.11) GPS (as opposed to Bluetooth [BT]) to combat the issue of Bluetooth GPS's problem with data transmission rates.Current BT GPS sentence outputs have to be very carefully constructed to meet business needs whilst still being small enough to send every second to the receiving device.
Similarly, I'd like to see lower-end GPS devices (ie: Garmin GPS76 series) come with a wireless communication option.How frustrating is it to have to have two GPS's - one for hooking up to your PocketPC/whatever for GIS data capture and one for your 4WD weekend bush camping/hiking trip (something as robust and weatherproof as the GPS 76's).Wouldn't it be nice just to have one GPS that does both functions?
I also hope to see a Global WAAS for GPSs emerge, or at least some kind of WAAS over the Western Pacific...
Jennifer Selfridge, CTL Engineering of West Virginia, Inc., West Virginia, United States
Grave data needs
- Coordinates / data layer for Cemeteries: active, historical, gone/moved/destroyed
- Coordinates given to gravestones (all or just famous/ significant/beautiful) - Could be entered as a "geocache" type-activity
- Cemeteries with linked photographs of site and gravestones, coordinates, transcriptions.
Jason Birch, City of Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Go open source!
I'd love to see users embrace Tux (formerly known as Maps\Server
Enterprise) and use it in ways that Autodesk never expected.Think mash-ups are cool? Wait 'til you see what happens when you've got a full geoprocessing platform to play with.I'd like to see Autodesk rewarded for their bold move in all of the ways they have hoped for, validating open source as a business model for traditional GIS software companies.I'd like to see other GIS companies (better late than never) come to the party too, though I'm not holding my breath.
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| Joe Francica notes: "...the best way to appease an already antsy clientele that keeps wondering why the map rendering tools of the traditional GIS companies never found a way to make it as simple as Google did." Perhaps this may be because making maps is not simple? Perhaps we are seeing a return to to the days of the 80's when I recall being told by several GIS sales types that with GIS you no longer had any reason to worry any more about such things as scale and map projections. And the planner I encountered who believed them and mixed spatial data from different sources (and scales from 1:300 to 1:25000)to create a model of parcel attributes to be used in tax assessment. The ability to easily display, say, address data of unknown spatial accuracy and attribute quality in conjunction with base map data of also unknown quality does not leave me with good feelings about the resulting map of, say, the spatial pattern of crime in a Chicago neighborhood. I have nothing against either Google or simplicity, but tools that are easy to use are not without their own problems. |
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| Also re: Adena Schutzberg's article on Google Earth - This is a key point. Data will not be 'king' if its provenance and accuracy is unknown. The new visualisation tools are great but need to take in all the work done on metadata by the OGC and others - or there is a chance they will fall from favour. If they do display full metadata intuitively - and mandate it in the first place - and if they start fully implementing WMS/WFS, then tools like Google Earth will be a perfectly valid means for simple interraction with spatial data, even for expert users. Free viewers from the main vendors have been around for a long time after all. The challenge for traditional vendors will be to provide authoring tools and high-performance web service platforms. There are all sorts of new delivery channels opening up - SVG and Flash spring to mind as well. |
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