On the
night of March 21, 2003, and for two weeks thereafter, the largest
barrage in history rained down on Baghdad, Iraq, with such precision
that the lights stayed on.
Baghdad, like Hiroshima, marks a new era in warfare impelled by weapons
that eclipse all others before them.The atomic bomb, or A-bomb,
brought a quantum leap in the magnitude of indiscriminate
annihilation.Today's geographically savvy weapons, let's call
them collectively the geographic bomb, or G-Bomb, brought a quantum
leap in the precision with which selective destruction can be
administered anywhere on Earth.
Both changed the nature of warfare forever, and the G-Bomb - relatively
cost-free in allied casualties and guilt-free in civilian casualties -
will be employed far more freely than the A-bomb ever could.The
implications, both good and bad, for foreign policy, international
relations, and global ethics are staggering.
Back home, the same technology that guides a missile can monitor and
control a child, spouse, employee, or slave.Hence, geofencing is
now commonplace and society must contemplate geoslavery, a new form of
human bondage characterized by location control via human-tracking
devices.The implications, both good and bad, for social
relations, human rights, privacy, and freedom are staggering.
Earth-changing forces are at play, and it's startling how little
society seems to know or care.Following Baghdad's "shock and
awe," there's been no prominent discussion of what the G-Bomb really
is, much less what it's impacts will be.It's as if national
leaders in 1945 had lauded the A-bomb without knowing or caring what
lay behind it, and citizens had gawked at it's mushroom cloud without
concern.
The simplistic explanation for precision bombing, trumpeted by national
leaders and pundits alike, is GPS, but that's just one of many data
streams flowing in a grand, global GIS that encompasses every
battlefield.With GPS alone, a missile's guidance system
couldn't distinguish Baghdad from Babylon, much less determine which
buildings to hit, hills to dodge, and people to miss.As Robert
McColl , professor emeritus of geography at the University of Kansas,
once said, "If all you have is GPS, the best you can do is call fire in
on yourself."
The G-Bomb demands GIS, a digital model of the earth that makes sense
of all geographic information.It demands a system that
faithfully records the precise three-dimensional geometry and
descriptive attributes of all pertinent physical and cultural features
(elevation, buildings, land cover, population, satellite imagery,
boundaries, plus GPS-derived latitude/longitude coordinates of troops
in the field and missiles in flight).It must keep track of
highly complex spatial relationships among features.It
must have the unique functionality of GIS to model, analyze, and
display all features that occupy geographic space.
How, for instance, do troops know where not to shoot in order to avoid
civilian casualties? It's one thing to know where each bomb will
fall, and GPS can tell you that.It's quite another to know where
the people are, and that requires a GIS.And make no mistake,
avoiding civilian casualties is paramount in defense policy
today.As one Pentagon officer said, "There are no single targets
that are war winners, but many targets are war losers."
My contribution was the population database.From 1997 through
2001 at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), I led the team that
developed the LandScan Global Population Database (30 arc seconds
resolution), the most precise population database ever developed for
the entire earth.After moving to KU the University of Kansas in
2001, I continued to refine population data down to building and block
level.As horrifying as the fighting was in Iraq, I woke
each morning knowing, at least, that our work had saved lives compared
to what would have happened otherwise.
LandScan is a prime example of how GIS data funded for one purpose can
have many other beneficial uses.After the Asian Tsunami of 2004,
tThe New York Times, National Public Radio, and other news media
reported that LandScan proved to be the only feasible means of
identifying and estimating impacted populations in the narrow coastal
strips devastated by the wave.My colleagues at ORNL - Eddie
Bright, Phil Coleman, and Budhendra Badhuri - are justly proud of their
work in that far-reaching catastrophe.They continue to update
and improve LandScan annually, and you can get it free from their website.
What science underlies the A-bomb? In 1945, everybody knew it was
physics, and physicists became the darlings of science.Imagine
what would have happened if no one had known.There would have been no
federal "NDEA" loans to further science and mathematics, no federal
programs to promote beneficial uses, and no intelligent safeguards.
What science underlies the G-bomb? Today, hardly anyone seems to know
that geography had a hand in it.Most of society is still caught
up in the silly notion of geography as "learning your states and
capitals" that arose after World War II.There is, in fact, no greater
gulf in knowledge today than that between the public image of geography
and the reality of what geographers actually do.
Geographers do not "own" the GIS movement, but they have been prominent
leaders, developers, and practitioners from its inception to the
present.For thousands of years, geographers, cartographers,
geodesists, and surveyors advanced the science that made GIS possible.
In the last century, remote- sensing specialists, landscape architects,
spatial statisticians, computer scientists, and topologists joined
them.Geography is the "G" in GIS and the intellectual home of
GIS, as it was already the intellectual home of cartography and other
geographic sciences.Geographers may differ in many ways, but all agree
their venerable discipline, like GIS, is defined not by its subject
matter but by its emphasis on spatial analysis, place-based science,
and integration.
Popular misconceptions about geography and simplistic conceptions of
GIS continue to hamper public awareness and debate.But, as Ambrose
Bierce (1842-1914) said, "War is God's way of teaching Americans
geography." The newest lesson is that GIS unleashes the power that
traditional geography always had.Now, an informed public must
vigorously guide politicians, geographers, and others on ethical bounds
for a discipline that suddenly has joined physics and chemistry among
the most beneficial and most dangerous of sciences.Course
corrections in foreign and domestic policy, science, and education are
essential.They must be as sweeping as those of the nuclear age,
and they must begin now.The dawning of the A-bomb brought on a
"nuclear age" characterized by enormous public investments in
education, production, and safeguards.Will the dawning of the
G-bomb bring on a new "geographic age?" Heaven help us if it
doesn't.
