NGSO Constellations Continue to Gain Momentum, Satellite Connectivity & Video Market Expected to Double Over Next Decade
Short term decline validates projections, recovery to pre-Covid revenues expected in 2022
Paris, Washington D.C., Montreal, Yokohama, [22 September 2021] – In its flagship report on the Satellite Connectivity and Video Market, leading international consulting and market intelligence firm, Euroconsult projects the market value to double between 2020 to 2030. Driven primarily by non-geostationary orbit (NGSO) satellite constellations, by 2030, the satellite connectivity and video market is projected to exceed $20 billion. NGSO capacity accounts for more than 75 percent of the projected market growth in the next decade.
“NGSO constellations continue to gain momentum, as demonstrated by the past year’s new satellite orders and launches,” said Nathan De Ruiter, managing director of Euroconsult Canada. “Starlink began commercial service and both OneWeb and Telesat Lightspeed secured additional investment. Our report found that NGSOs accounted for 97 percent of the supply added in 2020, resulting from satellites launched by both Starlink and OneWeb.”
The increasing dominance of NGSO satellites is also reflected in the supply forecast, with NGSO accounting for ~90 percent of total supply to be added in the next five years. The total global capacity supply (including all orbits) will rapidly expand from 3.7 Tbps in 2020 to 23 Tbps in 2022 and is projected to reach more than 50 Tbps in 2026, as additional constellations enter into service.
In last year’s report, Euroconsult predicted a prolonged market downturn due to Covid and the more structural driver of eroding capacity revenue for video services. The new report validates that finding, reflecting a five percent decrease in market value in 2019 compared to 2020. However, while Covid had a significant impact on key growth markets such as connectivity for cruise ships, planes, and offshore oil platforms, the structural demand drivers for satellite connectivity remain strong, and a return to pre-Covid growth is projected in 2022.
Connecting the unconnected remains the largest market opportunity for satellite connectivity. This includes service to remote areas, cellular backhaul, and community hotspots, in addition to serving people on the move. Currently more than 250,000 commercial vessels and airplanes are operating beyond the reach of terrestrial networks and only 15 percent of these use satellite for broadband connectivity today.
“To achieve market growth projections, satellite operators need to deeper integrate into terrestrial networks,” said Dimitri Buchs, senior consultant at Euroconsult. “We expect digitalization or ‘smartification’ of satellite communication networks to play a key role in achieving network convergence. Heightened network efficiency will enable new user applications and will unlock new market opportunities in under-served areas.”
Enterprise networks and consumer broadband are driving future growth and are expected to be the two largest contributors to continued demand in the next decade. Video distribution, which was previously the mainstay of the satellite industry, continues to decline and level off, while revenues from the mobility segment including maritime and aero connectivity are projected to grow to a similar size market of more than $3 billion by 2030.
About the Report
The Satellite Connectivity and Video Market report provides in-depth metrics and analysis of the period between 2016 to 2020 for historical trends, and forecasts data and trends for the years 2020 to 2030. It covers 13 world regions and reviews market trends for six different segments including: video distribution and contribution; cellular backhaul and trunking; enterprise networks; mobility; milsatcom; and consumer broadband.
The report is an essential tool for satellite manufacturers, service providers, and operators, as well as telecom operators, regulators and investors who need to understand market opportunities and impact based on global trends and forecasts. A Premium Edition of the report provides full access to the extensive database on capacity pricing, capacity on orbit, and operators’ market share and includes quarterly updates for tracking dynamic trends and data.
The Satellite Connectivity and Video Market report is available now and can be ordered from the Euroconsult shop. You can also download a free extract from the report.
The Euroconsult Group is a leading international consulting and market intelligence firm specialized in high technology industries, with expertise in the space industry, satellite-based applications, aero connectivity, information and data services. Privately owned and fully independent, we have over thirty years of experience developing comprehensive report programs and working with private companies and government entities, providing end-to-end consulting services, from project strategy definition to implementation, bringing data-led perspectives on the most critical issues. The Euroconsult Group is trusted by 600 clients in over 50 countries. The Group is headquartered in France, with offices in the U.S., Canada, Japan and Singapore. www.euroconsult-ec.com