Bookmarks

When Risk Maps Do More Than Inform: Lessons in Data, Design, and Dialogue

avatar
Michael Johnson
post-picture

“There’s a natural tendency toward drama when mapping disasters,” observed John Nelson of IDV Solutions. Yet his experience demonstrates that compelling risk maps are not about spectacle—they are about clarity, evidence, and the conversations that follow. Well-crafted maps do not need to dictate conclusions. Instead, they can lay out the facts in ways that invite inquiry, debate, and even the creation of additional maps.

A Rediscovered Dataset and an Unexpected Opportunity

While advising a client on globally representative risk data, Nelson revisited a historic tornado path dataset originally downloaded from Data.gov years earlier. His first glance was underwhelming. The file contained an overwhelming number of overlapping geometries scattered unevenly across the United States. At face value, it seemed like the kind of dataset that would require heavy filtering, aggregation, and simplification before becomingusable.

However, a closer examination shifted that perspective. The variability in distribution—dense clusters in some regions, relative sparsity in others—became meaningful. The very scale that initially appeared unwieldy turned out to be its greatest strength. Rather than compressing the information into county summaries or state-level rollups, Nelson preserved its abundance.

He categorized tornado paths by intensity, rendered them as luminous arcs, and placed them atop a subdued black-and-white satellite basemap for geographic reference. The visualization came together in a matter of hours, with additional time devoted to constructing a supporting pivot-table chart. The finished product was posted on his blog—an outlet he considered modest in reach.

From Blog Post to Broad Conversation

What followed was unexpected. The tornado visualization was picked up by content aggregators and cited in multiple articles. Discussions unfolded across comment sections, drawing observations not only from specialists but from curious members of the public who began exploring the data independently.

For a cartographer, seeing a map communicate effectively is rewarding. Seeing it catalyze dialogue is something else entirely. That experience prompted Nelson to continue the series, producing similarly expansive visualizations: global earthquakes dating back to 1898, major wildfires over more than a decade, and every recorded hurricane since 1851. Each map focused on a single hazard, incorporated extensive historical data, and revealed geographic patterns that practically demanded interpretation.

Why These Maps Resonated

Over time, Nelson identified five factors that likely contributed to the maps’ broad appeal, particularly among emergency managers and educators.

First, the subject matter itself—natural hazards—carries intrinsic relevance. Risk compels attention. People want to understand threats that affect communities and infrastructure.

Second, the scope was atypical. News graphics typically isolate one event: a single tornado’s path, one earthquake’s epicenter, one wildfire’s perimeter. Presenting a sweeping temporal and geographic view offered readers a “forest-level” perspective that was both refreshing and illuminating. Patterns that are invisible at event scale become obvious when decades of data are displayed together.

Third, the clarity of focus mattered. Each map explored one topic in depth. The intersection of a singular theme with large-scale data created a straightforward conceptual message: this is what happens, and this is where it happens. Rather than prescribing analysis, the maps placed evidence in front of viewers and allowed them to draw conclusions. This participatory dynamic proved powerful.

Nelson recalls a remark attributed to screenwriter Billy Wilder: give audiences two plus two and let them arrive at four themselves. When viewers are invited to engage intellectually—rather than passively consume conclusions—they feel ownership in the discovery process. That sense of contribution energizes discussion and often inspires further mapping.

Fourth, portability amplified reach. Static images can be embedded in blogs, articles, presentations, and social media with ease. While interactive versions offer richer exploratory capabilities—and one is available for the Tornado Tracks visualization—many readers would never have encountered it without the widely shared static graphic. Paradoxically, the simplicity of a shareable image helped drive interest in deeper interactivity.

Finally, visual appeal played a decisive role. Design determines whether an image earns a second glance. Emergency managers and casual readers alike devote limited time to a graphic. If the visual language is compelling, viewers lean in, analyze, and begin interpreting patterns. Aesthetic quality becomes a gateway to understanding.

Design Principles Behind the Risk Maps

Nelson applied several cartographic strategies to maintain clarity and impact.

The data were always foregrounded. Basemaps served strictly as spatial reference and were visually muted—often desaturated or faded—to prevent competition with the primary information layer. Emphasizing the data reduced cognitive friction and directed attention immediately to what mattered.

Color usage was restrained. Narrow gradients and a limited number of discrete categories minimized confusion. Excessive color breaks can overwhelm readers and undermine interpretability. Tools such as ColorBrewer informed palette selection, including considerations for color vision deficiencies.

The luminous “glow” effect applied to tornado paths, earthquake epicenters, fires, and hurricanes was more than stylistic flair. It reflected a conceptual stance: geographic phenomena are rarely dimensionless points or infinitely thin lines. Everything occupies space, and influence typically diminishes with distance. The glow subtly echoed Tobler’s First Law of Geography—that near things are more related than distant things—while enhancing visual drama without sacrificing meaning.

Legend design was approached cautiously. Complex legends force readers to repeatedly shift attention, taxing working memory. Instead, Nelson integrated legend elements into complementary charts that doubled as explanatory tools. A single glance could both decode the map and add interpretive depth.

The Emotional Dimension of Data Visualization

Good design does more than please the eye; it shapes perception. Psychological research supports the idea that aesthetic presentation influences how information is processed and valued. Daniel Kahneman’s work in “Thinking, Fast and Slow” emphasizes the role of intuitive judgment and emotional response in decision-making. When spatial data are presented with thoughtful design and clarity, viewers are more likely to engage—and to care.

Maps that are visually coherent and conceptually accessible encourage emotional investment. Even something as seemingly technical as a disaster visualization can evoke curiosity, responsibility, and insight when presented effectively.

A Teaching Tool and an Ongoing Dialogue

The series of hazard maps ultimately served as educational resources for emergency managers, instructors, and public safety professionals. Many requested permission to incorporate them into presentations, reinforcing their utility beyond the blogosphere. High-resolution and print versions were made available to support broader dissemination.

For Nelson, the most gratifying outcome was not viral visibility but sustained discussion. The questions posed by readers, the hypotheses suggested, and the follow-up analyses proposed illustrated the power of maps as conversation starters.

Disaster maps may attract attention because of their dramatic subject matter, but their enduring value lies in evidence, clarity, and thoughtful design. When data are presented openly—without overinterpretation—they invite collective reasoning. And in that shared exploration, geography becomes not just a record of events, but a framework for understanding risk and resilience.

Read more